State elections and US data center expansion plans
- Goldman Sachs reversed a roughly month-old position after the November 2026 elections, now saying Democratic control of the five leading data center states could affect 45% of planned U.S. capacity, having previously said political opposition left its 2027 outlook largely unchanged.
- The trigger was Gina Hinojosa's defeat of Texas Governor Greg Abbott, who had already frozen all state permits since September pending a December grid audit.
- Across 10 states, 38 of 44 data center restriction measures also passed.
Texas alone represents an estimated 27% of planned U.S. data center capacity, and Goldman Sachs now estimates Democratic control of the five leading data center states could affect 45% of planned U.S. expansion. The breadth of passed restriction measures across 10 states compounds the Texas-specific risk to AI infrastructure buildout.