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This story was merged into Data center power demand versus grid supply →

MergedRan 1 dayin the edition since 25 Sep 20265 sourcesupdated 25 Sep 2026

US AI data center power gap

The gist

Latest: AI Data Center Power Demand Outpaces Grid and Turbine Supply

The gap between AI infrastructure buildout and grid capacity to support it constrains where and how fast AI compute can be deployed. Supply bottlenecks in turbine components and grid connections are pushing the industry toward alternative power strategies, including vertical integration, demand-response software, and battery-based off-grid systems.

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The full picture

Global data center power capacity is projected to grow from 100.5 GW in 2024 to 211.1 GW by 2027, driven by AI servers that accounted for roughly one quarter of global data center power demand in 2025 and could exceed 40% by 2027, according to TrendForce. The Electric Power Research Institute estimates US data centers could consume 9% to 17% of all US electricity by 2030, up from approximately 4% to 5% today, with TrendForce projecting the US supply-demand gap could surpass 170 GW by 2030 and the global gap could reach 268 GW.

Grid connection delays are pushing AI data center projects toward portable natural gas turbine generators, but turbine blade production takes 60 to 90 weeks per batch and delivery queues extend to 2030. SpaceX confirmed plans to build a foundry to cast blades and vanes for natural gas power turbines, with Musk saying the move could bring turbines online up to 18 months faster. Howmet Aerospace and Berkshire Hathaway's Precision Castparts are the two dominant turbine blade producers, with Howmet holding roughly half of the global market share for natural gas turbine components. Howmet stock fell more than 7% following the announcement before partially recovering. The Financial Times reported that if established suppliers believe SpaceX can credibly cast those parts itself, they have a stronger reason to expand capacity preemptively, and the competitive threat may ease the bottleneck even if SpaceX never manufactures these parts at scale.

On the demand-management side, Emerald AI and NVIDIA demonstrated an automated flexible-load program with Silicon Valley Power in which NVIDIA's DSX Flex software receives grid signals, including load-shedding requests and pricing signals, and automatically adjusts workload priority, allowing critical AI jobs to continue while lower-priority jobs pause and resume after grid pressure eases. Redwood Materials is building off-grid power solutions for AI factories using 100% recycled electric vehicle batteries combined with an AI intelligence layer running on the NVIDIA Blackwell platform, with the company stating new power capacity can come online in months rather than years.

How it developed
25 September 2026

Alphabet confirmed funding for nuclear capacity increases at two Georgia plants supplying its data centers

First in the edition · 25 September 2026
21 September 2026

Redwood Materials described off-grid AI factory power using recycled EV batteries and NVIDIA Blackwell platform, claiming months-not-years deployment

19 September 2026

TrendForce and EPRI projections published: global data center capacity to reach 211.1 GW by 2027; US grid gap could surpass 170 GW by 2030

15 September 2026

NVIDIA and Emerald AI demonstrated automated flexible-load program with Silicon Valley Power using DSX Flex software

11 September 2026

Financial Times reported SpaceX's turbine manufacturing plans and noted competitive threat may prompt incumbent suppliers to expand capacity preemptively

2 September 2026in the 25 Sep edition

RAND found on September 25 that only about 33 GW of net new US grid capacity will realistically be available for AI data centers by 2030 from a nominal 1,086 GW pipeline, after accounting for project withdrawals, reliability constraints, and retirements.

Against that ceiling, BloombergNEF raised its 2030 US data center demand forecast 52% to 118 GW and 451 Research projected 134.4 GW by 2030. SpaceX announced it has begun casting turbine blades and vanes in-house, which Elon Musk said could cut generator procurement delays by 18 months, sending Howmet Aerospace stock down more than 7%.

29 July 2026

BloombergNEF releases revised US data center forecast: 118 GW by 2030 (up 52% from Dec 2025 estimate) and 194 GW by 2035 (up 83%)

29 April 2026

RAND publishes analysis finding only 33 GW net new US grid capacity realistically available for AI data centers by 2030 from 1,086 GW interconnection queue

Sources

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