Goldman Sachs power demand projections and IEA consumption forecasts cited alongside firm adoption figures and infrastructure investment thesis
Goldman Sachs, PwC Project Massive AI Infrastructure Spending Wave
The scale of projected spending, trillions of dollars in construction and equipment, means capital allocation decisions made now will shape the physical substrate of AI systems for decades. Competing analyses disagree on whether this demand is real or inflated by subsidies and cross-funding.
The full picture
Goldman Sachs Asset Management argues that agentic AI systems will drive over 90% of future digital infrastructure demand, creating investment opportunities in power, cooling, connectivity, and compute. Goldman Sachs projects US data center power demand to nearly double from 31 gigawatts in 2025 to 66 gigawatts by 2027. The IEA projects global data center electricity consumption to roughly double from 485 TWh in 2025 to 950 TWh by 2030, with AI-focused consumption tripling. PwC estimates global data center spending will total $31.6 trillion through 2050, rising to nearly $50 trillion if AI adoption accelerates, and finds that every dollar spent on data center construction commits approximately $12 more in future ICT equipment costs. US data center construction spending surged nearly 60% year-on-year in July per Census Bureau data. One analysis puts the AI infrastructure buildout at potentially $11 trillion through 2029, though that figure is contested. Goldman Sachs identifies the largest investment opportunity as infrastructure providers, chip makers, networking firms, utilities, and data center operators, rather than model creators. Firms named as relevant include Nvidia, Broadcom, Arista Networks, TSMC, Micron, SK Hynix, Samsung, Vertiv, Eaton, Constellation Energy, Vistra, Dominion Energy, NextEra Energy, CoreWeave, Nebius, Equinix, and IREN.
How it developed
PwC report details $12 ICT equipment cost multiplier per dollar of data center construction; hardware projected at 93% of capex by 2050
US data center construction spending reported up nearly 60% year-on-year in July; PwC projects $31.6 trillion in global data center spending through 2050
Analysis of competing bull and bear cases on $11 trillion AI infrastructure buildout through 2029 published
Sources
Related
- Continues inAI data center buildout and community resistance
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